The recent inverse results point to a more specific next-phase hypothesis.
The solver challenge does not look like a generic failure of the latent-object program.
It looks more like this:
in the current pose-free radial-signature pipeline, the anisotropy parameter
alphasits much closer to the rotation symmetry orbit than the normalized geometry does.
If that is right, then the design criterion for the next experiments changes.
The question is no longer just:
- can we search harder
- can we refine more locally
- can we compress pose more aggressively
It becomes:
- how far is each latent variable from the rotation orbit in the chosen representation
- and can we break or handle that symmetry in a way that separates
alphafrom pose without harming geometry
This note turns that idea into a concrete experiment sequence.
The mechanism under test is:
- in the current radial-signature representation, hidden rotation broadens the near-optimal family mainly along
alpha - the most plausible mechanism is that
alphaperturbations are more easily absorbed by rotation than geometry perturbations are
That is narrower than saying alpha is fundamentally unrecoverable.
It says only that:
- under the current encoding and pose handling,
alphais close to the rotation orbit
That is exactly the kind of statement we can test directly.
This hypothesis already lines up with four existing artifacts:
- LATENT_AMBIGUITY_EXPERIMENT.md
- ROTATION_INVARIANT_SPECTRAL_EXPERIMENT.md
- SHIFT_MARGINALIZED_POSE_EXPERIMENT.md
- SHIFT_MARGINALIZED_LOCAL_REFINEMENT_EXPERIMENT.md
Taken together, those results say:
- geometry stays comparatively stable
alphabroadens sharply once pose is hidden- blunt invariant compression does not help
- softer pose handling helps somewhat
- within-basin local refinement does not rescue
alpha
That pattern is exactly what a symmetry-orbit proximity mechanism predicts.
So this is not a shelf-it-later concept.
It is specific enough to steer the next experiments now.
The new design rule is:
prefer experiments that measure or break rotation-orbit aliasing directly.
In practice that means:
- measure orbit proximity before adding more bank density
- test symmetry-breaking alignment before adding more local refinement
- use oracle alignment to separate representation limits from alignment limits
- map where alignment helps and where symmetry itself makes alignment unstable
Question:
- are small
alphachanges actually closer to the rotation orbit than matched-size geometry changes in the current representation?
Setup:
- start from one true latent state
- perturb only
alphaby a controlled amount - perturb geometry by a matched normalized amount
- for each perturbation, compute:
- raw signature distance
- best-rotation-orbit distance
- orbit-absorption ratio = best-rotation distance divided by raw distance
Primary readout:
- if the hypothesis is right,
alphaperturbations should have much smaller orbit-minimized distances and higher orbit absorption than geometry perturbations
Strong outcome:
alphais measurably more rotation-aliased than geometry in the current radial-signature space
Weakening outcome:
- orbit absorption is similar across latent directions, which would push us away from the symmetry-orbit explanation
Recommended deliverable:
ORBIT_PROXIMITY_EXPERIMENT.md
Question:
- if we break rotational symmetry before radial encoding, does
alpharecover much more than geometry does?
Setup:
- estimate a canonical orientation from the observed boundary before radial signature encoding
- begin with simple locking rules:
- principal-axis alignment from the boundary point cloud
- low-order harmonic phase alignment from the radial signature
- rerun the pose-free weighted anisotropic inverse on the aligned observations
Primary prediction:
alphaerror ratios should move substantially back toward canonical-pose performance- geometry error ratios should move only slightly because geometry was already comparatively stable
Strong outcome:
- large
alphagain with small geometry change
Weakening outcome:
- little
alphachange after locking, which would suggest the aliasing is deeper than orientation handling alone
Recommended deliverable:
ORIENTATION_LOCKING_EXPERIMENT.md
Question:
- how much of the current
alphaloss is due to imperfect alignment, and how much remains even with idealized orientation information?
Setup:
- use the clean full boundary to define an oracle orientation
- align the observation with that oracle before encoding
- compare:
- current pose-free baseline
- practical orientation-locking
- oracle-aligned inverse
- canonical-pose inverse
Primary readout:
- the gap between practical locking and oracle locking tells us how much headroom is in better alignment
- the gap between oracle locking and canonical tells us how much ambiguity remains even after idealized orientation handling
Strong outcome:
- oracle locking nearly recovers canonical
alpha, which would strongly support the orbit-proximity mechanism
Recommended deliverable:
ORACLE_ALIGNMENT_CEILING_EXPERIMENT.md
Question:
- where does orientation-locking fail or become unstable?
Setup:
- map performance across:
- near-isotropic
alpha - stronger anisotropy
- more and less symmetric source geometries
- full, partial, and sparse support
- low and high noise
- near-isotropic
Primary readout:
- identify regimes where alignment is well-posed versus regimes where symmetry makes orientation itself ambiguous
Why this matters:
- it prevents us from overreading one good alignment result
- it also tells us whether “alpha near the orbit” is a global issue or only a near-symmetric issue
Recommended deliverable:
ALIGNMENT_FAILURE_MAP_EXPERIMENT.md
The best order is:
- orbit-proximity diagnostic
- orientation-locking experiment
- oracle alignment ceiling
- alignment failure map
That order matters.
The first experiment tests the mechanism directly.
The second tests the main intervention implied by the mechanism.
The third tells us whether the intervention is close to the right solution or still leaving large recoverable signal on the table.
The fourth tells us where the mechanism is strongest and where the intervention becomes ill-posed.
Until this branch is tested, the next step should not be:
- a much larger bank
- a deeper single-basin local refinement
- a more aggressive low-order invariant compression
Those all assume the problem is mainly search or resolution.
The experimental record points more toward symmetry aliasing.
If Experiment A and Experiment B both land strongly, then the symmetry-orbit mechanism becomes the right organizing explanation for the next phase of the project.
If Experiment A is weak, or Experiment B fails to rescue alpha, then this mechanism should be downgraded and treated as only one partial factor.
That makes this a good mechanism under test:
- it is sharp
- it is falsifiable
- it gives immediate design guidance
The simplest version is:
- the current inverse reads geometry well because geometry sits far from the pose symmetry orbit
- it reads
alphapoorly becausealphasits much closer to that orbit - so the next experiments should measure that orbit proximity directly and then try to break the symmetry before encoding
That is the right next branch.